1. time to destroy hizbulla
i guess that the best time to attack hizbullah is soon after the end of this crise they will have no sympathy of other lebanese
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2. Half the army is Shi'ite.
Siniora has no real control of the army.
And the fact that this is primarily a Sunni-Shi'a problem actually illustrates that Christians are now irrelevant - and many will immigrate
This is clearly a victory for Iran no matter how you look at it.
It is also another fiasco for Ms Rice to add to her list. .
| Terry , |
Eilat, Israel |
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(05.11.08) |
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3. Mr Guy Bechor
We know that there was some experiments with extacy conducted on the Idf to reduce their PSTD's from the Lebanon war,but whatever is it You are taken is much stronger i presume.
| Ali , |
beirut,Lebanon |
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(05.11.08) |
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4. This analysis is very correct but
is Israel wishing to be a Hizbullah/Shiite neighbor. If I was an Israeli I would say that draining the Arab world from its intelligent, educated and well to do people is contrary to Israel's interest. If all the Arab world ended up like Hamas what would Israel look forward to. I sense in this article a sense of elation that the plurality of Lebanon is dead. I believe this is the wrong focus for Israel. Israel should be confident in its own right and look after its long term stability one that Islamists and poverty cannot enhance.
| Kareem , |
Washington DC, USA |
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(05.11.08) |
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5. Re: Lebanese #1
I feel very badly for your situation and the destruction that is being brought to your beautiful country. But if Israel gets condemned around the world for invading Lebanon in an act of self defense, there is no way in hell they will lift a finger to stop Hezbollah now when the border is quiet.
Unless Hezbollah does something incredibly stupid and launches an attack across the Israeli border, Israel will not get involved in this conflict. Your best hope is to appeal to the international community (i.e. Europe) and explain to them why Hezbollah are neither heroes nor allies of their misguided left wing causes. Explain to them why Hezbollah shouldn't be rewarded for providing for those it impoverished in the first place. Otherwise, I'm afraid you're screwed and the world wants to see you martyred in the name of freedom, because it makes for good TV.
| Canadian Dude , |
Montreal, Canada |
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(05.11.08) |
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6. to our dear Lebanese friends
#5 makes a good point. israel is the only one strong enough in the region to destroy Hizbollah. Yet when Israel tried to--and it can't be done without violence, I'm afraid--"moderate" Prime Minister Siniora comes on international TV crying about how horrible the Israelis are--ok, so you're stuck with Hizbullah, now how are you going to deal with them?
| RobertK , |
Jerusalem |
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(05.11.08) |
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7. QUESTIONABLE ANALYSIS........GUY
You state that Hizbullah has exposed itself?Really?Are you trying to suggest that one fine morning the Govt of Lebanon decides to sack the man Incharge of Security at Beirut's International airport and call upon the Hizbullah's reliable line of communication threat against security.All that existed for so long becomes a threst to the security?Far from it.Guy.The conspirers have yet to be exoposed to the World at large.
And when was the Hizbullah's pledge that the arms will be used only against Israel?It had made very clear,for you to refreshen your memory,that in the event of strategic interest of Hizbulla is interfered with action will be taken without any hesitation.Guy, you have referred in the past to what is becoming a very familiar word in your region......proxy wars....are you under the impression that the Govt took this action without being prompted by an outside power?You know that the answer is.....no.....yah?
It is Hizbullah who has managed to retain its reputation in war and in time of peace..................and for your information,not only have the Shias benefited from this resistance organisation.
Dont draw such gloomy conclusions of Shias taking over Lebanon.Lebonese can remain in harmony irrespective of which religion they belong to.
| MAHMOOD , |
LONDON-UK |
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(05.11.08) |
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8. well.....
you need to give me some of the stuff you are smoking....because it is pretty good.....which planet are you on bro?
| Marc Menell , |
Hamburg, Germany |
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(05.12.08) |
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9. Pathetic analysis
Wishful thinking at best. Caused by desperation? YOU BET!
| Zeal , |
Zionist America |
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(05.12.08) |
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10. to the auther
you make it the story of siniora and hassan nasralla .. i see it the story of israil and resistance of israil like hamass and abou mazen . i mean it is not trap to any if it is not to israil it would not to any other one . so look around you to recognize the traps
| sahar , |
jerusalem |
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(05.12.08) |
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11. to the author
Wow, did PM Siniora tell you this himself?
In that case, tell him I said that he should make sure that while he is playing dead (per your analysis), he should be careful not to be shot for sure.
| INCognito , |
Brooklyn, USA |
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(05.12.08) |
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12. Weak is weak
Siniora's weakness is not a calculated one. He purely and simply is a coward, as all liars are. He and his psychotic friends and allies (jumblat and Geagea) turn around with the winds, and their "force" comes from outside of them, a force that can let them down any minute.
Instead of waiting for the Arab League and/or the US to save them (I don't think the US would be foolish enough to do that... remember the marines and the US embassy explosions?) they would better avoid more destruction to this country by resigning, which they are forced to do sooner or later. But knowing the true extent of their deception to the Lebanese people, they are still waiting for a "miracle" solution from their "friends".
Believe me, the people is going to judge them, smear their faces in the mud which they created themselves, and hang them publicly. No place on Earth will be safe for them.
Karma is Karma.
| Truth soldier , |
Beirut, Lebanon |
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(05.12.08) |
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13. If only Hisb'Allah remains, at least we can really lash out.
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14. to all
T think Hizbullah is cleaning the country from his enemy, preparing himself for the second round.
| Observer , |
Melbourne |
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(05.12.08) |
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15. A Plus to the Resistance.
What has happened in Lebanon should have taken place at an earlier date.The pro-Western government is loosing momentum and about to submit its resignation.Those accusing Hezbollah of attempting a coup are either influenced by American/Israeli propoganda or unaware of the true balance of power in Lebanon.Curent clashes reflect the degree of mistrust between the dwindling Western scheme and the rising national one.We should not depict this dispute as a civil war since it lacks the sectorial ingredients but rather a return to sanity in the Lebanese politics.
| gadees , |
vanco. |
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(05.12.08) |
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16. Agree, but analysis still interesting
I agree with most of the posters. Mr. Bechor errs by characterizing Siniora's reaction as intentional when it was plainly reactive and done out of weakness.
However, Mr. Bechor is presenting a opprtunity within the crisis for the Leb government to turn the move back on Hezbollah.
In this aspect, Bechor's analysis is interesting. Hopefully, the government is smart enough to salvage a pr victory out of this.
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17. Lebanon
Siniora is not playing weak, he just plain IS weak. He is unable to solve the very problem that prompted the civil war in the first place. Lebanon is just as divided now as it was then, and the conditions that sparked the civil war have not abated in the least. The divisions run across all sectors of society at all levels.
And to top it off, the very way that their government is structured is such that if one of the parties decides to back out, there is a power vacuum that results from the paralysis. The situation is even more critical now that Hezbollah is in the picture. That element was not present in 1975. Then it was the Shiites collectively. Then again, that was before the Shah left.
This latest action by Hez only destabilizes what is already a very precarious situation in what is left of that country. More on that in next post.
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18. Guy Bechor reporting from Never-Never-Land
Please read latest new he sees and
type from his chyristal ball
GUY bechor please read the events and other newspapers as well before touching keyboard for example Haaretz would be good start,
and next time obviously we will see IDF chief will sit and cry just like Siniora when Hizbullah start to walk to front of your door as you adviced so and declared doing it "understanding midleast"!!!
Let me brief what is getting on:
Israel and USA is preparing for striking IRan,
Prepartion has 3 fronts
1. Iraq, neutrilizing of Sadr militia to minimize backlash from this front
It is not won, Iran and Sadr forces stands strong
2. Lebonan and ISrael tried to pressure Hizbullah to test their future
response during Israeli strike at Iran
They get very harsh response and Hizbullah has no concession on this front
3. Other front is in front of you no need to explain it to you, even toyou!!
Home front(4th) : As soon as the corrupt man left, a "hero" of future war will come,because Israel cannot bear a corrupt leading wartimes,
perhaps this is most dificult front because finding a clean leader is even more difficult than winning war against Irand and Hizbullah.
| Tayfun_Turkey , |
Istanbul |
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(05.12.08) |
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19. hizbulla is ready
there's no way to destroy hizbulla without exposing 80% of israel to a very massive attack, because the missile arsenal they have now are not katyusha of the 20km range anymore, they are able to launch another species from north lebanon, eliminating the option of the IDF for a land strike operation. They are aware and they are the kind of people they learn their lessons and improve their capabilities... This is what they kept doing since 1982.
| Yakof , |
toronto canada |
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(05.12.08) |
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20. Both right and wrong
The fact that the fighting is still going is is where you are right, and in regards to Nasrallah losing political points. But only within Lebanon. And by and large, only with groups and people not aligned with the opposition.
Outside of Lebanon, though, the people are giving Nasrallah and Hezbollah a free pass on this. Despite all the information that has been released about the events in Lebanon the past week, there has been only minimal criticism on the actions of Hezbollah and opposition groups. Flip out over a gov't decision and conduct civil war? Hardly a peep. Destroying opposition media outlets? A barely touched on point. Burning down a Druze mayor's house?
The saddest part is, Saniora probably lost himself a few points in the Arab/Islamic world when he claimed Hezbollah were worse than Israel due to the actions listed above, as well as those not listed.
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21. To Mahmood #7. Hezbollah Is The Greatest DANGER To Lebanon.
You say :"When was the Hezbollah's pledge that arms will be used only against Israel ?"
THIS statement of yours indicate that Hezbollah will be using its arms against the Sunnis, Christians of Lebanon -- and also against the Lebanese Government.
THIS means that an armed Hezbollah is a great DANGER to the State of Lebanon.
An armed Hezbollah is the greatest DANGER to Lebanon -- so, the Sunnis, Christians, Government of Lebanon should wake up to this FACT.
AS a rule : in a country ONLY the Government can apply violence -- in the form of the Police and the Army Force. ANYONE ELSE applying violence in a country -- is punishable by the Government of that country.
BTW in the presence of armed gangs -- the authority of the Government is weakened.
IN the presence of armed gangs -- the citizens can NOT have a peaceful life.
AND without a peaceful life -- there can be NO happiness !!!
| Maansingh , |
The Netherlands |
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(05.13.08) |
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22. MAANSINGH IS OUT OF TOUCH......#21
Maansingh,you are far behind the events occuring on the ground.The Govt of Lebanon took the action against Hizbullah on BEHALF of your favourite country.Dont tell me you did not know that.They call it proxy war,Maansingh.Wale up to the existing reality and dont waste your time discrediting this popular resistance movement which has achieved lot more than just taking up arms and fighting for its right.
| MAHMOOD , |
LONDON-UK |
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(05.13.08) |
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23. To Mahmood #22. To Sell Perfume ?!?
You say :".. (Hezbollah is) fighting for its right ".
Hezbollah is fighting for its right ..... in order to be able to do what ??
Hezbollah does NOT need arms in order to be able to sell perfume ?!?
Mahmood, has selling perfume become such a risky business ?!
| Maansingh , |
The Netherlands |
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(05.13.08) |
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24. Imperial Iran Weak Washington
Iran is on the move. It is building its military power. It is extending its influence. It is the power behind Hizbollah. To this Washington responds with talk, talk, talk about fictive peace between the Palestinians(which?) and Israel.
Iran pushes ahead towards its nuclear weapon. No one is stopping it. Bush said he would and he hasn't. And we haven't either.
| Shalom Freedman , |
Jerusalem Israel |
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(05.13.08) |
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