Opinion  Ron Ben-Yishai
Iran's strategic landmine
Ron Ben-Yishai
Published: 18.10.13, 13:11
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16 Talkbacks for this article
1. A Wery Good article - For now - However -
Arn. ,   Sweden.   (10.18.13)
- the Military option is the Only One that will Function. Arn.Sweden.
2. #1 - there is no military option
spyguy ,   seattle   (10.18.13)
The harsh reality that both the US and Israeli military leaders know is that any attack on Iran will cause massive harm to the US and/or Israel. This is why all the military leaders keep saying that attacking Iran is a bad idea. Iran has been parinoid about a US attack since 1979 and has spent every dime they could spare and huge amounts of engineering talent building an extremely deadly, multilayer defense network. Any attack on Iran will get lots of attackers killed. The estimates are as much as 65% of the attacking aircraft would be lost. Iran has the Chinese FD2000 re-engineering of the Russian S-300 (making it equivalent toe the S-400/S-500). Most attacking aircraft and cruise missiles will NOT survive. The reality is there is no military option.
3. #2. Israel has a viable military option.
Chaim ,   Israel   (10.18.13)
It is ridiculous to say there is no military option. Of course, Israel has an extremely viable military option. Is it risk free? Of course not. But it is infinitely better than letting the genocidal Mad Mullahs build nukes.
4. #1 where do you get this nonsense?
michael redbourn ,   Lisbon Portugal   (10.18.13)
"Any attack on Iran will get lots of attackers killed. The estimates are as much as 65% of the attacking aircraft would be lost". Iran's defense systems are obsolete by US and Israeli standards! Israel regularly attacks and buzzes Arab countries with no losses and you want to say that US Stealth planes are not stealth planes! Seems like you're publishing a wet-dream!
5. Nr 2. You have absolutely no Military experiense -
Arn. ,   Sweden.   (10.18.13)
- and therefore no clue or insight regarding operative military planing, regarding what Israel could and will do with Iran. By Jerk !.
6. Iran wants to lift Chapter VII UNSCR's and US/EU sanctions
CJK   (10.18.13)
iran wants all sanctions lifted, and wants the us to legitimize its nuclear weapons program. in return, they might slow down enrichment for a few months. only a fool would accept such a deal.
7. "the military option is still on the table"
EZ   (10.18.13)
Are you kidding? Obama would not bomb Assad even after he used chemical weapons on hundreds of civilians. The Iranians saw this and that's why they're back at the negotiating table. (New Iranian president has nothing to do with it. The supreme leader runs the country.) The problem for Israel is that the military option for it is unsatisfying. Everything can be rebuilt within a few years so it's really just kicking the can down the road. The only silver lining is that the Iranians, as a people, are generally not as virulently hostile to Israel as Arabs. Some of the ones in the West that I have met have been actually quite friendly. Strategically, Iran does not have much to have conflict with Israel over. The mullahs have chosen hostility with Israel since it raises their profile in the world of Islam. Hopefully, the Iranian people can see past that.
8. Good article, Ron. Thanks
Israeli 2   (10.18.13)
#2 and #4: Where did you get your miss information? Not even 1% of losses will be sustained if Israel goes it alone. With American forces, maybe. Israel should go it alone. ...and my sources tell me that if Israel wants, it can today or at any time denuke Iran and everyone in there without any casualties. I won't obviouslyreveal to spies and spyguys what it is...now would I?
9. #1 and 5, How are you going to do it?!
Persian CAT   (10.19.13)
By throwing Swedish meatballs at Iran's fortified, deeply buried and heavily defended installations? You don't even live in the region, but let your mouth run like the coward that you are. Are you suggesting you know about "operative military planning". How can possibly a village idiot like you even know about military planning?!
10. I wish analysts like Ron would start offering....
Persian CAT   (10.19.13)
some sober analysis of what Israel is going to do at the end of the Iran-5+1 negotiations. The negotiations are ongoing and obviously both Iran and its counterparts have started on the track to solve their problems. The odd "men" out are Israel, and its new best "ally" the Saudi despots. The Saudis will come with their tails between their legs and try to mend fences with Iran. They always do. Considering the misguided comments of the Israeli officials, their hubris, and empty saber rattling. I am wondering how Israel is going to pull itself out of the hole it has dug itself into. The military option may be on the table, but the US won't let Israel to come even close to that table. So, what's the policy, Ben?
11. #8 - go for it
spyguy ,   seattle   (10.19.13)
Lets see who is more realistic. Just don't complain if I am much more correct than you are.. The reality is Iran has spent the time since 1979 building very deadly defense capabilities. If what you believe were true, then why has Bibi been constrained by the Israeli military? NOTE that I do not care if Israel; attacks, because it will not be my money nor my life that is wasted, I am just trying to minimize Israeli costs. If you are willing to accept that Israel could lose EVERYTHING, then make the all-in gamble.
12. #2, Sounds Like An Apologist In The Garb of Chamberlain
Ross Gallen ,   Henderson, USA   (10.19.13)
Stop spreading your poisonous propaganda and defeatist mentality.
13. #7: Excellent EZ! Completely correct
Israeli 2   (10.19.13)
And that is the reason why Israel (its government and people) are reluctant for a military option. The majority of the Iranian people are NOT against Israel.
14. ben Ishai the iranian carrot is for you
Philippe ,   Raanana   (10.18.13)
Ben Ishai you should be very happy with this situation the iranian are pointing a nuclear carrot towards your lower end.And you will happily swallow it for your love of peace and good neighbouring.Thanks to you and your leftist -liberal ilk 20 years of soft brain-washing israel is left with no other choice than 1) eaiting for the iranian mushroom over tel Aviv or 2) preempting WAY TOO LATE the iranian nuclear new toy status. I invite to adopt tje second choice and to attach yourself to the tip of the israeli missile whcih will erase and correct your sweet talk poisonous propaganda.
15. Nr, 9, So - the Cat is Worried - eh - ?
Arn, ,   Sweden.   (10.19.13)
You should be ! You and Nr 2 seems to have a lot in common, regarding the understanding of Military matters. Arn.Sweden.
16. Persian Cat
CJK   (10.19.13)
you can be sure that israel has a plan. indeed, Israel revises her plans very often according to the situation on the ground. just because israel does not trumpether military plans to the universe of cats, it does not mean that she does not have a plan.
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