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1. We can win that next war, but not postpone it!
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2. YOU PLAYED TOO MANY WAR GAMES VIDEO
| Avram Goldsmith , |
Toronto -Kiriat Gat |
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(02.11.18) |
Stop nonsense speculation, let things being brought in context, cause Lebanon will become a parking lot, as for Syria not too much remain.
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3. Pipe dreams of "understanding with Russia" and hysterics
over loss of the plane.
No plane is guaranteed 100% immune ,it's best it happened now so reasons could be investigated at relative leisure.
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4. Two injured pilots is not such a big deal in survival war
| Steve Benassi , |
Minneapolis USA |
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(02.11.18) |
Israel has to be ready for sacrifices.
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To keep Putin happy, not shooting S400 around, means to let him keep his bases in Syria, which means keeping Assad alive with at least a partial control of the land.
Hitting iranians hightech and syrian SAM system won't endanger Assad hold of the country, they face militias on the ground.
Putin has interests with Assad, not with the iranians in Syria, quite the opposite.
Lebanon seems to be out of his business and hitting hezballah weakening Iran could be advantageous for him.
The enigma is the what point beyond which S400 will star flying and this point can move according to trading with Iran ... but to this too there is a counter move.
What if Assad wasn't there anymore? There is always a single point of failure, the weakest link in the chain. Bachar has been the poster boy of the alawi gang, the symbol of "Syria" ...
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To keep Putin happy, not shooting S400 around, means to let him keep his bases in Syria, which means keeping Assad alive with at least a partial control of the land.
Hitting iranians hightech and syrian SAM system won't endanger Assad hold of the country, they face militias on the ground.
Putin has interests with Assad, not with the iranians in Syria, quite the opposite.
Lebanon seems to be out of his business and hitting hezballah weakening Iran could be advantageous for him.
The enigma is the what point beyond which S400 will star flying and this point can move according to trading with Iran ... but to this too there is a counter move.
What if Assad wasn't there anymore? There is always a single point of failure, the weakest link in the chain. Bachar has been the poster boy of the alawi gang, the symbol of "Syria" ...
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7. The message is caution on both sides
Iran faces unprecedented internal challenges to the regime and tries to show external strength. Israel is the strongest and the most technologically advanced army in the region but it shouldnt be complacent either. The eras of the great commanders like Moshe Dayan and Sharon has passed. The IRGC are not amateurs or like the palestinians, they are a professional army with smart people within their ranks and you find iranian students at Harvard, the mit etc, some of these return and work for the IRGC in exchange of a lot of money. In their thinking it is important to limit iranian casualties and they will deter the israelis until the last living arab and afghanis. The iranian regime and the IRGC are a cold calculating opponent and the way forward (regardless of when this damn criminal regime hopefully collapses) is to establish deconfliction lines with the iranians, A direct miscalculated conflagration will end in a regional war with global consequences and mass casualties. The iranians are determined to project power and in their thinking they must deter Israel on as many proxy fronts as necessary in order to reposition themselves against the americans, which they consider as the number one national security threat to the regime since it surrounds iran from Turkey, Bahrain, Pakistan, Afghanistan etc.
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Yossi Yehoshua
