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Photo: Avi Rokach
Vehicle struck by rocket launched from Gaza
Photo: Avi Rokach

Israeli economy shrinks for first time in 5 years

Third quarter GDP contracts 0.4 percent due to financial fallout from 50-day war with Gaza militants.

Israel's economy contracted – for the first time in more than five years – in the third quarter, as growth was hit by the effects of a summer conflict with the Gazan terror group Hamas.

 

 

Gross domestic product fell 0.4 percent in the July-September period, the Central Bureau of Statistics said on Sunday. It was the first quarterly decline since a 0.2 percent drop in the first three months of 2009, at the outset of the global financial crisis.

 

"We are talking about a one-time result and will not have a long-term impact," the Finance Ministry said in a statement, noting it expects the Gaza war harmed growth in 2014.

 

Mortar shell in southern Israel (Photo: Ido Erez) (Photo: Ido Erez)
Mortar shell in southern Israel (Photo: Ido Erez)

Growth for all of 2014 is projected by the bureau at 2.2 percent, with Israel's 50-day war in July and August having shaved off about half a percentage point.

 

Third-quarter GDP was forecast to have dipped 0.1 percent, according to a Reuters poll of analysts.

 

The Bank of Israel had previously said growth in the quarter was likely to be zero or negative, due to the war – a time when many factories had sharply curtailed activity amid heavy rocket fire from Gaza while consumers opted to stay home.

 

Minivan hit by rocket shrapnel during Protective Edge (Photo: Roi Idan)
Minivan hit by rocket shrapnel during Protective Edge (Photo: Roi Idan)

 

To offset the expected weakening of economic growth, coupled with a shift to deflation, the central bank had lowered its benchmark interest rate by a combined half-point in July and August to an all-time low of 0.25 percent. Policymakers left the key rate unchanged at their two subsequent meetings.

 

The Finance Ministry said despite the weak third quarter it maintains a 2014 economic growth estimate of 2.4 percent and a forecast of 2.8 percent for 2015.

 

Exports, which account for some 40 percent of economic activity, rose 2.8 percent in the third quarter. Private spending, another key driver, grew 3.9 percent while investment in fixed assets slipped 3.6 percent.

 

Government spending increased 3.1 percent and imports surged 16.2 percent. Excluding public sector spending, the economy contracted 1.4 percent in the third quarter. The bureau also revised its estimate for second-quarter GDP to 2.2 percent from a prior 1.9 percent.

 

On Friday, it said Israel's annual inflation rate held steady at -0.3 percent in October. Israel moved to deflation in September for the first time since 2007. Tel Aviv stock and bond prices were largely flat on Sunday.

 


פרסום ראשון: 11.16.14, 17:46
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