King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman
King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman
Photo: AP
  King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman

Bahrain deal spotlights Saudi's stealth normalization with Israel

Move to formally establish relations with Israel couldn't have happened without Saudi Arabia's green light, another step in what observers call Riyadh's 'alternative normalization' of ties with Jewish state

AFP |
Published: 09.13.20 , 09:03
Bahrain's move to formally establish relations with Israel could not have happened without Saudi Arabia's green light, another step in what observers call Riyadh's "alternative normalization" of ties with the Jewish state.
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  • Bahrain on Friday became Saudi Arabia's second Gulf ally to announce plans to formalize relations with Israel over the past month, after the United Arab Emirates' landmark agreement.
      King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman   King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman
    King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman
    (Photo: AP)
    The move put a spotlight on the potential role of Riyadh, which has so far fended off pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump to follow suit.
    The development, billed by Trump as "truly historic", was unlikely to have happened without the silent endorsement of Riyadh, which holds enormous leverage over Bahrain.
    Saudi Arabia, the Arab world's biggest economy, was among the Gulf powers that pledged $10 billion in financial aid in 2018 to cash-strapped Bahrain, and it sent troops in 2011 to shore up the ruling family following an Arab Spring uprising.
    "I trust that the kingdom of Bahrain consulted with the Saudis on this decision out of respect for them," Marc Schneier, an American rabbi who is an advisor to Bahrain's king, told AFP.
    ג'ארד קושנר עם מוחמד בן סלמאן בסעודיהג'ארד קושנר עם מוחמד בן סלמאן בסעודיה
    Senior White House adviser Jared Kushner and Saudi Cron Prince Mohammad bin Salman in Riyadh
    (Photo: Reuters)
    "The Bahrain government has been very respectful of the Saudi position throughout this process."
    Saudi officials have publicly remained tight-lipped over the development, but a source close to the establishment hinted it was a concession to Trump after he exerted enormous pressure on Riyadh to form diplomatic ties with Israel.
    "You're going to have quite a few countries come in, the big ones are going to be coming in. I spoke to the king of Saudi Arabia... we just started the dialogue" about normalization with Israel, Trump told reporters this week after a telephone call with King Salman.
    Saudi state media did not address the subject in its readout of the call, only quoting the king voicing support for a "lasting and fair" solution to the Palestinian issue.

    Below the radar

    Saudi Arabia, home to Islam's holiest sites, is unlikely to make a similar deal with Israel immediately, as doing so without a resolution to the Palestinian issue would be seen as a betrayal of the cause and hurt its image as the leader of the Muslim world.
    Pilgrims circle around the Kaaba at the Grand Mosque in Mecca on the first day of Hajj, July 29, 2020 Pilgrims circle around the Kaaba at the Grand Mosque in Mecca on the first day of Hajj, July 29, 2020
    Pilgrims circle around the Kaaba at the Grand Mosque in Mecca, Saudi Arabia on the first day of Hajj, July 29, 2020
    (Photo: EPA)
    And analysts say it does not feel a pressing need to after having cultivated covert ties with Israel, which it views as a bulwark against its regional nemesis Iran, even as it has voiced steadfast support for an independent Palestinian state.
    Earlier this month, Saudi Arabia agreed to permit UAE flights to Israel to overfly its territory, in another concrete sign of the kingdom's cooperation with the Jewish state.
    "This is what I would call 'alternative normalization'," Ryan Bohl, of the U.S. geopolitical think tank Stratfor, told AFP.
    "Though Saudi will remain slower on this path, it's clear the kingdom is open to normalization and will explore growth in the relationship through increased public, though likely indirect, ties."

    Testing ground

    Despite its public stance, the pro-government Saudi media has repeatedly tested public reaction by publishing reports advocating closer ties with Israel.
    Muslim pilgrims wearing masks pray around the Kaaba at the Grand mosque during the annual Hajj pilgrimage in Mecca, July 29, 2020 Muslim pilgrims wearing masks pray around the Kaaba at the Grand mosque during the annual Hajj pilgrimage in Mecca, July 29, 2020
    Muslim pilgrims wearing masks pray around the Kaaba at the Grand mosque during the annual Hajj pilgrimage in Mecca, July 29, 2020
    (Photo: Reuters)
    Earlier this month, a preacher in the holy city of Mecca triggered a social media storm when videos of his sermon surfaced that showed him speaking of what he called Prophet Mohammed's outreach to people of other faiths, particularly Jews.
    The sermon by Abdulrahman al-Sudais, who courted controversy in the past over his anti-Semitic views, was interpreted by many as a call for normalization of ties with Israel.
    Riyadh will explore indirect relations with Israel until the "Saudi public is better prepared for a deeper strategic change", Bohl said.
    Saudi Arabia is mindful that, like some other Gulf states, its population too may be highly sympathetic to the Palestinian cause.
    President Donald Trump shows a chart highlighting arms sales to Saudi Arabia during a meeting with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington President Donald Trump shows a chart highlighting arms sales to Saudi Arabia during a meeting with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington
    President Donald Trump shows a chart highlighting arms sales to Saudi Arabia during a meeting with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman in the Oval Office
    (Photo: AP)
    After a relatively muted public reaction in the UAE, dissidents in Bahrain, which is Sunni-ruled but has a large Shi'ite Muslim population, rejected the government's move to establish relations with Israel as a "betrayal".
    Saudi Arabia will be closely watching the public reaction in Bahrain, which unlike other Gulf states has a long history of civil society movements, even if they have been suppressed since the Arab Spring.
    "Saudi Arabia often uses Bahrain as a testing ground for its future policies," Kristin Diwan of the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington told AFP.
    "But then Saudi Arabia's calculations for normalizing relations with Israel are genuinely distinctive from those of a small littoral Gulf state without the religious heft and responsibility of the kingdom."
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