Hamas will not get the prisoner swap it wants

Analysis: While Israel is not expected to accept Yahya Sinwar's demands to release 1,111 prisoners in exchange for the bodies of two Israeli soldiers and two Israeli captives, it is willing to ignore previous recommendations and free hundreds of terrorists
Ron Ben-Yishai|
The Hamas leader in Gaza, Yahya Sinwar, said Monday that he was willing to reach a deal with Israel that would include the return of the bodies of two fallen IDF soldiers and two civilians held by the terror group in exchange for the release of Palestinians jailed in Israel.
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  • But this is old news. Hamas agreed to a prisoner swap after the 2014 Gaza war, but the demands made by the terror group at the time were unacceptable to the Israeli government.
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    מנהיג חמאס יחיא סינוואר בטקס לזכר הרוגי סבב הלחימה האחרון בעזה
    מנהיג חמאס יחיא סינוואר בטקס לזכר הרוגי סבב הלחימה האחרון בעזה
    Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar attending a memorial for Hamas members killed in the May fighting
    (Photo:TPS)
    When Hamas was struggling with the outbreak of coronavirus in the Strip earlier this year, Sinwar was willing to modify his demands.
    Israel at the time saw an opportunity to make a deal and advised Egyptian mediators that they would be magnanimous in their offer to Hamas. Arab media reported at the time that the Israeli government was willing to release hundreds of Hamas prisoners.
    Sinwar insisted that the agreement with Israel be conducted in two phases. In the first phase, women and elderly or ill prisoners would be released and in the second phase hundreds of Hamas members who participated in murderous attacks against Israelis would go free.
    Because of this insistence by Sinwar, the deal fell through in December 2020.
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    Clockwise from top left: Fallen soldiers Hadar Goldin and Oron Shaul, captives Hisham al-Saeed and Avera Mengistu
    Clockwise from top left: Fallen soldiers Hadar Goldin and Oron Shaul, captives Hisham al-Saeed and Avera Mengistu
    Clockwise from top left: Fallen soldiers Hadar Goldin and Oron Shaul, captives Hisham al-Saeed and Avera Mengistu
    On Monday, speaking in front of cameras belonging to the international media, Sinwar said: "Remember the number 1,111."
    He is now demanding the release of 1,111 prisoners, more than were released in the deal to free IDF soldier Gilad Shalit in 2011, who had been held for five years in Hamas captivity.
    Sinwar himself was among the 1,027 prisoners freed in that exchange.
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    Yahya Sinwar waves a Hamas flag as he is released from an Israeli prison as part of the 2011 prisoner swap deal
    Yahya Sinwar waves a Hamas flag as he is released from an Israeli prison as part of the 2011 prisoner swap deal
    Yahya Sinwar waves a Hamas flag as he is released from an Israeli prison as part of the 2011 prisoner swap deal
    Israeli defense officials indicated that there was no chance that the government would accept the Hamas demands and that Sinwar appears to have convinced himself that he was the victor in the 11-days of cross border fighting in May.
    Israel is adamant that it will not allow reconstruction in Gaza to begin before the matter of prisoners held by Hamas is resolved. And the current government and possibly the coalition that follows are unlikely to agree to Sinwar's terms.
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    Palestinian prisoners released in exchange for the return of Gilad Shalit
    Palestinian prisoners released in exchange for the return of Gilad Shalit
    Palestinian prisoners released in exchange for the return of Gilad Shalit
    (Photo: EPA)
    Even so, the government appears willing to ignore the recommendations of the Shamgar Commission established after the Shalit deal - which state that Israel must exchange a body for a body and a prisoner for a prisoner – and is willing to consider the possibility of freeing hundreds of Hamas prisoners.
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