Israel-Abbas ties warming but peace talks unlikely in near future

In-depth: Palestinian president has stepped up his diplomatic efforts vis-à-vis Israel, while continuing his hardline rhetoric; Israel, meanwhile, has no unified position on ending the conflict, but is open to discussing humanitarian issues

AFP|
Recent visits by three Israeli cabinet ministers to Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas indicate both sides are keen to promote stability and improve ties, even if peace talks remain off the table for now.
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  • The Israeli coalition led by hardline nationalist Prime Minister Naftali Bennett - which includes left-wingers and Islamists - has no common position on ending the decades-long Palestinian conflict, complicating any formal diplomatic negotiations.
    But Bennett has said his government will aim to improve economic conditions in the West Bank, a Palestinian territory under partial Israeli control since 1967.
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    נפתלי בנט, מחמוד עבאס וג'ו ביידן
    נפתלי בנט, מחמוד עבאס וג'ו ביידן
    Joe Biden, Mahmud Abbas and Naftali Bennett
    (Photo: AP, AFP, Reuters)
    For Abbas, who was largely ignored by Bennett's predecessor Benjamin Netanyahu, moves by Israel to bolster his position would likely be welcome, analysts said.
    A poll last month by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research found that 80 percent of Palestinians want Abbas to resign, an unprecedented figure reflecting deep frustration with the 86-year-old leader.
    Only 19 percent of respondents believe Abbas's secular Fatah movement deserves to lead the Palestinian people, with 45 percent preferring Hamas, the terror group which controls the Gaza Strip.
    For Abbas and his Palestinian Authority - facing mounting anger over endemic corruption and a crackdown on human rights activists - talking to Israel is partly about "taking advantage of the diplomatic context", said Uzi Rabi, director of the Moshe Dayan Middle East Research Center at Tel Aviv University.
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    בני גנץ אבו מאזן
    בני גנץ אבו מאזן
    Defense Minister Benny Gantz and Mahmud Abbas
    (Photo: Avi Mualem; Reuters)
    That context, Rabi said, is shaped by an Israeli coalition that includes leaders committed to a two-state solution and, for the first time ever, an Arab-Israeli party.
    U.S. President Joe Biden's administration is also seen as far more sympathetic to the Palestinians than Donald Trump, accused of egregious bias towards Israel.
    The first high-level Israeli visit to Abbas in Ramallah, which came days after Bennett met Biden in Washington, was by Defense Minister Benny Gantz.
    Bennett is the former head of a lobby group representing Jewish settlers, who live in West Bank communities considered illegal under international law, and he opposes the creation of a Palestinian state.
    After Gantz met Abbas, a source close to the premier clarified that the discussions were on security issues and that there would be no "peace" talks during Bennett's premiership.
    But on Sunday, Abbas received Health Minister Nitzan Horowitz, Regional Cooperation Minister Issawi Freij and lawmaker Michal Rozin, all from the left-wing Meretz party, part of the ruling coalition.
    "We have a common mission, to maintain the hope of a peace founded on the two-state solution", Horowitz wrote on Twitter.
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    ניצן הורוביץ ואבו מאזן ברמאללה
    ניצן הורוביץ ואבו מאזן ברמאללה
    Health Minister Nitzan Horowitz meets Abbas
    (Photo: Office of the Chairman of Meretz )
    As Abbas has stepped up his diplomacy with Israel, he has also maintained a hard rhetorical line. In an address to the United Nations General Assembly last month, he said that if Israel did not withdraw from all occupied territory within a year, he would no longer recognize the Jewish state based on pre-1967 borders.
    Rabi said Abbas's goal with that unrealistic ultimatum was to suggest that if there was no progress on peace talks during his tenure as president, a "chaotic" situation could result.
    Palestinian analyst Diana Buttu stressed the limitations of Abbas's dealings with Israel, saying the Jewish state was open to discussing humanitarian issues, but it "does not want to hear about rights or political freedoms".
    For Khalil Shaheen, a veteran Palestinian analyst and journalist, Abbas is betting that he can create "momentum" that pressures Bennett into reviving moribund peace talks.
    But that strategy could prove "ineffective" because Bennett's ideologically disparate coalition is more focused on its own survival than on peace talks with the Palestinians, Shaheen said.
    This "Israeli government has agreed to avoid controversial subjects like the Palestinian question that could tear it up at any moment," he said.
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