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Amine Ayoub
Algeria’s ‘guillotine of citizenship’: the anatomy of a paranoid regime
Opinion: Algeria’s revised nationality law grants sweeping powers to strip citizenship from native-born critics, raising concerns over political repression and regional instability
Amine Ayoub
|
02.26.26
Morocco’s 'Gaza gamble': why Rabat is sending troops to the strip
Analysis: Morocco has pledged troops and police to a post-war stabilization force in Gaza, aiming to curb Iranian influence and deepen ties with Washington while seeking stronger backing for its sovereignty over Western Sahara
Amine Ayoub
|
02.21.26
The Nile’s 'Red Line': Egypt’s multi-front security crisis
Analysis: The Nile is no longer merely a resource to be managed; it has become an existential red line that is now inextricably linked to the maritime security of the Red Sea and the stability of the entire Mediterranean basin
Amine Ayoub
|
02.18.26
The end of the double game: Why Europe is finally slamming the door on Erdogan’s Syrian ambitions
Analysis: In a 363–71 vote, the European Parliament condemns Turkey’s role in northern Syria, accusing Ankara of destabilizing the region and enabling ISIS jailbreaks, while pledging €620 million in aid to support local security and governance
Amine Ayoub
|
02.16.26
Cairo’s new defense chief and cabinet 'reset' are a tactical retreat from the Abraham Accords
Opinion: President Sisi's reshuffle of Egypt’s cabinet is a move critics call a retreat from regional alignment and a consolidation of military power at home; it is a glaring admission of domestic failure and a strategic retreat into archaic habits of a bygone era
Amine Ayoub
|
02.12.26
The Brotherhood-Hezbollah Axis: lessons from the capture of senior Sunni Atwi Atwi
Opinion: The capture of a senior Muslim Brotherhood figure in southern Lebanon exposes Sunni-Shiite cooperation on the battlefield, shattering Western assumptions and forcing Washington to confront a unified Islamist war effort tied to Iran
Amine Ayoub
|
02.10.26
The Mukaab and the ghost of 1979: Why Mohammed bin Salman is awakening Saudi Islamists
Opinion: Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is betting that money and spectacle can replace centuries of religious authority, but the West must not mistake silence for acceptance - radicalism in Saudi Arabia has evolved
Amine Ayoub
|
02.08.26
The new oxygen pipeline? The hidden risks of reopening Rafah
Analysis: Partial reopening under the 'Rafah 2' mechanism marks a high-stakes test of remote-controlled exits and militarized entry, as Israel warns most Hamas tunnels remain intact and questions Egypt’s reliability and strength of international enforcement
Amine Ayoub
|
02.04.26
Gaza's 'technocratic shield': Governance is a survival tactic for Hamas
Analysis: Framed as neutral governance, Gaza’s new technocratic committee masks Hamas’ ongoing military rule, offering the terror group cover, cash and a pathway to survive under the guise of reconstruction
Amine Ayoub
|
02.03.26
From symbolism to statecraft: turning the EU’s IRGC label into a strategy for regime collapse
Opinion: The EU’s long-delayed designation of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist organization sends a powerful signal, but without concrete action to support Iran’s uprising and dismantle the regime’s power, it risks becoming symbolism rather than strategy
Amine Ayoub
|
01.31.26
The NATO schism: Madrid’s strategic divorce and the 5% collision
Analysis: Madrid’s refusal to meet new defense spending targets and its embargo on Israeli defense goods have strained ties with Washington, disrupted alliance logistics and exposed a growing rift that threatens NATO cohesion along its southern flank
Amine Ayoub
|
01.25.26
The 'Trump United Nations': Is the Board of Peace replacing the UNSC?
Opinion: The era of the world forum is being superseded by the world boardroom, where security is a commodity and peace is a project managed by a select group of executives and investors
Amine Ayoub
|
01.20.26
Iranian Ayandeh Bank collapse shows how hyperinflation financed the IRGC’s last stand
The October 2025 failure of Bank Ayandeh forced Iran to print money to cover $5 billion in losses, accelerating hyperinflation, hollowing out the economy and exposing a regime relying on repression and capital flight to survive
Amine Ayoub
|
01.17.26
The Israel-Morocco axis: why the 2026 military pact is the death of the old Maghreb
Analysis: As Morocco hosts AFCON, it is quietly reshaping regional security, deepening military ties with Israel, drawing US interest and positioning itself as the West’s key security partner in North Africa
Amine Ayoub
|
01.13.26
The Paris summit: assessing the Israel-Syria ‘joint fusion mechanism’
Analysis: Behind the Paris summit lies a tactical Israel-Syria coordination deal, not a peace breakthrough, as Syria’s Islamist interim leader seeks sanctions relief and legitimacy while consolidating sectarian rule at home
Amine Ayoub
|
01.12.26
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