Amine Ayoub

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Amine Ayoub

9/11: How America accidentally made Iran stronger

Analysis: Twenty-five years after the attacks, Washington’s wars in Afghanistan and Iraq removed Tehran’s two biggest regional rivals—and opened the door to Iran’s rise

Amine Ayoub | 09.10.26

The Kharg trap: How US strikes in Hormuz put Israel’s Mediterranean gas infrastructure at risk

Analysis: As US strikes target Iranian oil assets, Tehran faces strong incentives to avoid symmetric confrontation with Washington and redirect retaliatory operations toward Israel's offshore energy grid; Jerusalem must establish forward deterrence now

Amine Ayoub | 09.09.26

Middle East is watching Israel’s election to see if it still has the strength to deter Iran

Analysis: Arab capitals are watching Israel’s election for more than political change, weighing whether the next government can preserve military deterrence, confront Iran and its proxies, and keep the Abraham Accords anchored in Israeli strength

Amine Ayoub | 09.07.26

סירת מנוע של משמרות המהפכה מתקרבת לספינה במצר הורמוז

US sanctions Turkish bank network Israel wanted closed over alleged IRGC oil financing

By shutting down an Istanbul investment bank that converted Iranian oil proceeds for the IRGC-Quds Force, Washington acted on shared intelligence and ended Ankara’s dual-track game

Amine Ayoub | 09.05.26

Mojtaba Khamenei, Donald Trump and the Strait of Hormuz

How stable oil flows could leave Israel trapped in a war with Iran

Opinion: As oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz normalize, the US faces less pressure to end its war with Iran, risking a prolonged conflict that could leave Israel trapped in a war of attrition

Amine Ayoub | 09.04.26

Moscow’s silent gift to Tehran: why Israel’s new submarine is built for the high-speed missile era

As covert Russian technical assistance supercharges Iran’s high-speed cruise missile program, Israel silently deploys the INS Drakon—a shadow leviathan to rewrite strategic deterrence and neutralize compressed attack windows in an unforgiving regional standoff

Amine Ayoub | 09.03.26

Xi in Cairo: How China’s yuan push could help Iran evade sanctions

Opinion: Xi Jinping’s Cairo visit highlights Beijing’s expansion of yuan settlement infrastructure along the Suez Canal, creating new sanctions-evasion risks for Iran and raising direct concerns for Israeli security

Amine Ayoub | 09.02.26

US strikes Iran on Larak Island. Israel is left carrying the long-term risk

Opinion: Washington can strike Iranian assets and step back, but Israel remains within Tehran’s reach and cannot outsource its deterrence to changing US political priorities

Amine Ayoub | 08.31.26

Kuwait Emir Sheikh Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah, Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif

Kuwait just hired Pakistan’s army to defend it

Opinion: While rejecting Israel, the Gulf monarchy is outsourcing its security to a nuclear-armed, Islamist-leaning military; a dangerous mirage of protection

Amine Ayoub | 08.29.26

The commander who smashed ISIS just surrendered to Syria’s ex–Al-Qaeda president

Opinion: Mazloum Abdi dissolved the army that destroyed the caliphate and took a desk job under Ahmed al-Sharaa. Washington calls it peace. Israel faces a consolidated Islamist state on its border

Amine Ayoub | 08.28.26

Spain declares national security crisis in Ceuta. Israel can help Morocco make the enclaves costly

Opinion: Madrid lectures Israel on borders while activating emergency powers over its African outposts; the Abraham Accords now give Israel and Morocco a real way to respond

Amine Ayoub | 08.27.26

China’s President Xi Jinping (L) and King Abdullah II of Jordan (R) gesture after attending a welcoming ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China

Jordan’s Beijing pivot: what it really means for Israeli security

Analysis: Not a rupture, not a crisis, but Chinese digital infrastructure near the Jordan Valley is a new intelligence vulnerability that Israel cannot ignore

Amine Ayoub | 08.26.26

Iran’s Hormuz fee plan: A sign of regime under growing fiscal strain

Opinion: Iran’s plan to impose fees on commercial vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz reflects mounting fiscal pressure, as sanctions, economic strain and disrupted trade limit Tehran’s revenue options and push the regime to seek cash from a vital global waterway

Amine Ayoub | 08.24.26

Israel just redrew the map in Syria and Lebanon. Containment is over and forward deterrence has begun

Analysis: Precision strikes in Syria and a physical buffer in South Lebanon show Israel is no longer waiting for threats to arrive. This is Forward Deterrence, and it is only the opening move

Amine Ayoub | 08.23.26

Erdogan’s legal jihad: Why Turkey’s arrest warrant for Netanyahu attacks Israeli sovereignty

Opinion: Ankara is no longer just hosting Hamas leadership and meddling across Syria; Erdogan is now weaponizing international legal institutions to paralyze Israel’s military command, delegitimize the IDF and subvert Western legal norms

Amine Ayoub | 08.22.26