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Amine Ayoub
The iron tracks of Sinai: why Israel must keep a close eye on Egypt’s new logistics corridor
Analysis: While diplomats cling to atmospheric reassurances, the 500-kilometer railway project across Sinai is establishing a major logistics corridor requiring rigorous Israeli security scrutiny; realpolitik dictates that hard capabilities matter
Amine Ayoub
|
09.28.26
Hamas’ underground elections show what Israel has yet to destroy
Opinion: Hamas is holding internal elections in Gaza despite sustained Israeli military pressure, exposing a struggle between local and old-guard leaders and showing the terror group is still working to preserve its political and governing structure
Amine Ayoub
|
09.27.26
Iran’s new weapon is not Hormuz. It is uncertainty
Analysis: Iran may have discovered that it does not need to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed to weaponize it; it only needs to make governments, markets and voters unsure whether the waterway will remain open tomorrow
Amine Ayoub
|
09.25.26
When Saudi Arabia recognizes Israel, the Muslim world will never be the same
Opinion: A Saudi-Israel deal would not simply add another Arab state to the peace camp; it could challenge one of political Islam’s most powerful assumptions, weaken Iran’s resistance narrative and force regional stakeholders to redefine their relationship with the Jewish state
Amine Ayoub
|
09.23.26
Israel destroyed Iran’s weapons sites. Can Russia and China rebuild them?
Israeli strikes may have shattered Iran’s weapons infrastructure, but Russian banking channels and Chinese oil revenue and dual-use technology could help Tehran rebuild its military capabilities over time
Amine Ayoub
|
09.22.26
Erdogan’s quiet squeeze: Turkey just closed a key Iranian financial channel
Analysis: Behind Ankara’s fiery anti-Israel rhetoric lies cold economic reality: facing expanding American secondary sanctions, Turkish financial regulators quietly shut down a major Iranian state banking node in Istanbul
Amine Ayoub
|
09.20.26
Israel and Morocco are redrawing the strategic map of North Africa
Analysis: The agreement to upgrade to full embassies is far more than a diplomatic formality; as Morocco deepens its defense co-production with Israel, Algeria severs ties with the UAE, and Spain attempts a delicate balancing act with Algiers, a dynamic new strategic geometry is emerging across the Western Mediterranean
Amine Ayoub
|
09.18.26
Iran is moving West. Israel should be watching Africa
Opinion: Tehran’s activity in Mauritania, Sudan and the Red Sea points to a strategic reality Israel cannot afford to ignore: Iran’s regional battlefield is no longer confined to the Middle East
Amine Ayoub
|
09.16.26
Saudi Arabia’s drone vulnerability is a warning for Israel
Opinion: Saudi Arabia’s latest pipeline attack exposes the limits of even sophisticated air defenses; for Israel, the lesson is not that Riyadh should become a closer strategic partner, it is that Israel must never confuse regional cooperation with strategic dependence
Amine Ayoub
|
09.14.26
Algeria just severed ties with the UAE. Israel is the quiet winner
Analysis: The rupture is not a bilateral spat. It exposes a widening realignment in which Morocco, the UAE and Israel occupy overlapping strategic space while Algeria’s traditional model of influence faces mounting pressure
Amine Ayoub
|
09.12.26
9/11: How America accidentally made Iran stronger
Analysis: Twenty-five years after the attacks, Washington’s wars in Afghanistan and Iraq removed Tehran’s two biggest regional rivals—and opened the door to Iran’s rise
Amine Ayoub
|
09.10.26
The Kharg trap: How US strikes in Hormuz put Israel’s Mediterranean gas infrastructure at risk
Analysis: As US strikes target Iranian oil assets, Tehran faces strong incentives to avoid symmetric confrontation with Washington and redirect retaliatory operations toward Israel's offshore energy grid; Jerusalem must establish forward deterrence now
Amine Ayoub
|
09.09.26
Middle East is watching Israel’s election to see if it still has the strength to deter Iran
Analysis: Arab capitals are watching Israel’s election for more than political change, weighing whether the next government can preserve military deterrence, confront Iran and its proxies, and keep the Abraham Accords anchored in Israeli strength
Amine Ayoub
|
09.07.26
US sanctions Turkish bank network Israel wanted closed over alleged IRGC oil financing
By shutting down an Istanbul investment bank that converted Iranian oil proceeds for the IRGC-Quds Force, Washington acted on shared intelligence and ended Ankara’s dual-track game
Amine Ayoub
|
09.05.26
How stable oil flows could leave Israel trapped in a war with Iran
Opinion: As oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz normalize, the US faces less pressure to end its war with Iran, risking a prolonged conflict that could leave Israel trapped in a war of attrition
Amine Ayoub
|
09.04.26
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