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Amine Ayoub
Gaza's 'technocratic shield': Governance is a survival tactic for Hamas
Analysis: Framed as neutral governance, Gaza’s new technocratic committee masks Hamas’ ongoing military rule, offering the terror group cover, cash and a pathway to survive under the guise of reconstruction
Amine Ayoub
|
02.03.26
From symbolism to statecraft: turning the EU’s IRGC label into a strategy for regime collapse
Opinion: The EU’s long-delayed designation of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist organization sends a powerful signal, but without concrete action to support Iran’s uprising and dismantle the regime’s power, it risks becoming symbolism rather than strategy
Amine Ayoub
|
01.31.26
The NATO schism: Madrid’s strategic divorce and the 5% collision
Analysis: Madrid’s refusal to meet new defense spending targets and its embargo on Israeli defense goods have strained ties with Washington, disrupted alliance logistics and exposed a growing rift that threatens NATO cohesion along its southern flank
Amine Ayoub
|
01.25.26
The 'Trump United Nations': Is the Board of Peace replacing the UNSC?
Opinion: The era of the world forum is being superseded by the world boardroom, where security is a commodity and peace is a project managed by a select group of executives and investors
Amine Ayoub
|
01.20.26
Iranian Ayandeh Bank collapse shows how hyperinflation financed the IRGC’s last stand
The October 2025 failure of Bank Ayandeh forced Iran to print money to cover $5 billion in losses, accelerating hyperinflation, hollowing out the economy and exposing a regime relying on repression and capital flight to survive
Amine Ayoub
|
01.17.26
The Israel-Morocco axis: why the 2026 military pact is the death of the old Maghreb
Analysis: As Morocco hosts AFCON, it is quietly reshaping regional security, deepening military ties with Israel, drawing US interest and positioning itself as the West’s key security partner in North Africa
Amine Ayoub
|
01.13.26
The Paris summit: assessing the Israel-Syria ‘joint fusion mechanism’
Analysis: Behind the Paris summit lies a tactical Israel-Syria coordination deal, not a peace breakthrough, as Syria’s Islamist interim leader seeks sanctions relief and legitimacy while consolidating sectarian rule at home
Amine Ayoub
|
01.12.26
The Mobarizoun Shock: the sectarian war Tehran can no longer hide
Analysis: As Iran backs Hamas in Gaza, a Sunni uprising led by the Mobarizoun Popular Front erupts at home, exposing deep sectarian fractures and forcing the regime to shift elite forces from the Levant to Sistan and Baluchistan to contain the growing rebellion
Amine Ayoub
|
01.08.26
Locked and loaded: Trump’s 'Rescue Doctrine' ends the era of appeasement
Opinion: As Iran’s currency collapses and protests spread, Trump threatens US intervention if protesters are killed, ending decades of Western restraint and signaling a new doctrine that targets the regime’s weakest point: its loss of legitimacy at home
Amine Ayoub
|
01.05.26
Panic in Mogadishu: Somali president claims Israel plans to 'resettle' Gaza in Somaliland
Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud's claim that Somaliland agreed to host an Israeli military base and resettle Gazans is an unverified charge seen as a disinformation bid to derail Israel-Somaliland ties and preserve Mogadishu’s fading legitimacy
Amine Ayoub
|
01.01.26
This is why Egypt's Sisi is militarizing the Horn of Africa to spite Israel, encircle Ethiopia
Opinion: Israel’s recognition of Somaliland has exposed a quiet but dangerous shift - Egypt is moving to militarize the southern Red Sea via Eritrea and Djibouti, seeking to encircle Ethiopia and counter the move, turning a diplomatic dispute into a regional security risk
Amine Ayoub
|
12.29.25
The crash that decapitated Libya and exposed Erdogan
The death of Libya’s top western commander in a crash near Ankara has cast doubt on Turkey’s security guarantees, fueled suspicions of foreign sabotage and exposed the fragility of Erdogan’s alliance with Tripoli and its regional ambitions
Amine Ayoub
|
12.27.25
Sultan, terrorist, neighbor: the existential threat growing in Israel’s backyard
Analysis: Turkey’s top ministers met Syria’s Islamist president in Damascus, signaling a new Sunni axis on Israel’s border as US forces withdraw and Kurdish allies face collapse; Israel now faces a rising threat from a radicalized, Turkish-backed Syria
Amine Ayoub
|
12.23.25
The wolf in a suit: why Turkey is the new threat swallowing Lebanon whole
Opinion: As Hezbollah weakens, Lebanon risks trading Iranian domination for Turkish Islamist influence, a shift that could reshape the eastern Mediterranean and create a new, quieter but more dangerous threat on Israel’s northern border
Amine Ayoub
|
12.18.25
Islamism’s strategic scarcity: how hoarded baby formula exposed the economy of martyrdom
Opinion: A viral video from Gaza exposes Hamas stockpiling baby formula and aid as civilians starve, shattering Western illusions and indicting an ideology that weaponizes suffering for global sympathy
Amine Ayoub
|
12.13.25
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