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Amine Ayoub
Missiles, bread and water: how Iran held the Arab world hostage
Analysis: Iran’s attacks on desalination plants, airports and energy infrastructure exposed the Gulf’s vulnerabilities, disrupting food supplies, driving up prices and threatening the livelihoods of millions from the Gulf states to Egypt and Jordan
Amine Ayoub
|
06.05.26
Why Iran fired missiles at Kuwait Airport to threaten Israel and the US
Analysis: the old model of fighting through proxies, hiding behind plausible deniability, and calibrating aggression to stay just below the threshold of direct retaliation is finished
Amine Ayoub
|
06.03.26
Turkey just did what Iran spent 20 years trying to do
Analysis: at EFES-2026, Turkey hosted Libyan and Syrian troops for the first time, signaling an expanding Turkish military network from Tripoli to Damascus that could challenge Israel’s regional posture
Amine Ayoub
|
06.01.26
The Litani is no longer the frontier: why Israel's security now starts at the Strait of Hormuz
Opinion: Iran’s Hormuz threat, not the Litani front, may shape US limits on Israel’s Lebanon campaign as Washington prioritizes Gulf oil stability
Amine Ayoub
|
05.30.26
Egypt is in the Gulf, but it just won't fight alongside Israel — and Iran knows it
Analysis: Egypt is deploying forces to defend Gulf states but refuses open integration with a US-Israel regional defense network, leaving gaps that Iran can exploit and limiting Cairo’s value as a security partner
Amine Ayoub
|
05.28.26
Spain beats its own Gaza ‘heroes.’ Where is Sanchez now?
Opinion: Madrid praised the Gaza flotilla activists as victims of Israeli cruelty, then stayed silent when Spanish police beat them at home, exposing Europe’s performative outrage against Israel
Amine Ayoub
|
05.25.26
Why Gaza’s civilian rule cannot begin while Hamas still holds weapons and power
Opinion: A US-backed postwar plan for Gaza remains frozen as Hamas retains arms and coercive power, leaving the proposed civilian authority unable to enter or govern the territory
Amine Ayoub
|
05.24.26
Iran is winning by losing: how Tehran turned Gulf victims into its biggest lobbyists
Opinion: Tehran has learned it can strike Gulf states, then rely on their fear of wider war to restrain Washington, turning ceasefire diplomacy into a tool for delay, recovery and leverage
Amine Ayoub
|
05.20.26
Paris opens the file MBS thought he'd buried
Opinion: French probe into murder of Jamal Khashoggi renews scrutiny of Saudi crown prince, raising tough questions for Israel over normalization with Riyadh and its strategic bet on a royal who operates outside any legal or diplomatic boundary
Amine Ayoub
|
05.18.26
Washington gave the Islamists Syria, and now it's giving them Chevron
Opinion: Syria’s sudden return to global finance and energy markets marks a historic turn, but the West may be betting billions on Ahmed al-Sharaa’s reinvention before securing the guarantees it needs
Amine Ayoub
|
05.15.26
Spain fights jihadists at home—then shields Iran abroad
Opinion: Pedro Sanchez’s refusal to allow US aircraft to use Spanish bases exposed a deeper contradiction in Madrid’s policy: confronting Islamist extremism domestically while taking positions that undercut Israel and US strategy against Iran
Amine Ayoub
|
05.10.26
Qatar built its foreign policy on Islamism; Iran blew it up
Opinion: Qatar’s balancing act collapses as the Iran war exposes the cost of its ties to Hamas, Tehran and Washington
Amine Ayoub
|
05.09.26
Egypt spent a decade killing Islamists; now it's selling gas to one in Syria
Opinion: Egypt is rapidly normalizing ties with Syria’s new leadership, despite its jihadist roots, as President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi prioritizes economic and strategic interests; it is a confession of strategic bankruptcy dressed up as statesmanship
Amine Ayoub
|
05.05.26
Designating Polisario as terrorists won't win the Sahara for Morocco
Opinion: As US senators push to designate the Polisario Front a terrorist group, Washington must target Algeria’s support for the group and lock in Morocco’s autonomy plan as the basis for a lasting settlement
Amine Ayoub
|
04.29.26
Abraham Accords reach the Strait: how Israel can help Morocco reclaim its north
Analysis: US-Spain tensions over NATO, Iran create opening for Morocco to press claims on Ceuta and Melilla, with Israel positioned to back Rabat diplomatically within US-led alliance that increasingly favors cooperative partners over European holdouts
Amine Ayoub
|
04.26.26
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