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Amine Ayoub
Israel, Turkey and Azerbaijan: how a hijab dispute tests Baku’s strategic independence
Opinion: Baku’s school-dress rules have triggered protests in Turkey, criminal proceedings against Turkish commentators and entry bans against 31 Turkish citizens; the confrontation exposes the limits of Ankara-Baku solidarity and highlights the strategic importance of Azerbaijan’s independent relationship with Israel
Amine Ayoub
|
10.26.26
Chinese missiles in Iraq? Israel's fighter jets aren't the main vulnerability
Analysis: The reported Iranian transfer remains unverified, and shoulder-fired missiles cannot reach fighters cruising at high altitude. But if advanced systems reach Iraqi militias, they could threaten the rescue helicopters and intelligence drones Israel depends on to sustain operations across the region
Amine Ayoub
|
10.25.26
Karak church attack tests Jordan’s response. Israel has a stake in the outcome
Opinion: Seven people were killed in a rare attack at a Greek Orthodox funeral in southern Jordan; for Israel, the central question is whether the shooting exposes ideological vulnerabilities that threaten the kingdom's civic stability and bilateral security cooperation
Amine Ayoub
|
10.24.26
Israel faces new Mediterranean challenge as Libya endorses Turkey deal
Opinion: Libya’s eastern parliament has endorsed a controversial maritime deal with Turkey, raising concerns for Israel, Greece, Cyprus and Egypt over disputed waters, energy exploration and regional influence, and prompting calls for coordinated diplomacy
Amine Ayoub
|
10.23.26
Why Saudi Arabia helped create its worst Houthi nightmare
Analysis: Decades of religious competition, political interference, and a failed military intervention helped transform a local Yemeni movement into an asymmetric threat capable of striking Saudi infrastructure and disrupting regional commerce
Amine Ayoub
|
10.21.26
Saudi oil pipelines and Egypt's energy links protect regimes, not just trade
Analysis: As threats to Hormuz and the Red Sea drive Saudi Arabia and Egypt to invest in pipelines, energy links and diplomacy, their push for secure trade also protects centralized power, leaving citizens to bear the costs with little accountability
Amine Ayoub
|
10.20.26
Syria may repeal its Muslim Brotherhood death law. Israel should watch
Analysis: Syrian lawmakers are gathering signatures to repeal a 1980 statute that made Muslim Brotherhood membership a capital offense; a repeal would formally remove a notorious Assad-era law, but it would not automatically legalize the organization; its renewed bid for political influence raises important questions about Syria's future and Israel's northern security
Amine Ayoub
|
10.14.26
Saudi Arabia's grand mufti calls for sacrifice against Houthis reveal where MBS's reforms stop
Analysis: The kingdom has reopened cinemas, expanded women's freedoms and curbed its religious police, but clerics remain under royal control; despite shared security concerns, Israel must not mistake parallel Saudi interests for an emerging alliance
Amine Ayoub
|
10.13.26
Abbas delays Palestinian elections until 2027. Who will control the West Bank after him?
Analysis: Abbas's postponement puts Hussein al-Sheikh first in line to succeed him, but rival Fatah leaders, disputed legal rules and armed networks in Jenin and Tulkarm could thwart a clean handover and disrupt security coordination with Israel
Amine Ayoub
|
10.12.26
Morocco turns Israeli weapons technology into defense industry as Algeria watches
Analysis: Israel's first official defense pavilion at the Marrakech Air Show highlights growing military ties with Morocco, as Rabat moves toward local production of Israeli-designed weapons systems and potential exports to NATO markets
Amine Ayoub
|
10.09.26
October 7 taught Israel a brutal lesson. Egypt is the next test
Analysis: Washington’s decision to waive human rights conditions on military aid to Cairo puts strategic ties first, but Israel must prepare for risks from Egypt’s military power and political uncertainty
Amine Ayoub
|
10.07.26
Trump gave Morocco the Sahara, but can he actually end the conflict?
Analysis: Israel welcomed the new strategic alignment with Rabat and Washington, but America’s recognition solved the question of policy, not the question of peace; now Trump faces the harder battle: making Morocco’s sovereignty the basis of a settlement
Amine Ayoub
|
10.05.26
Beyond the Houthis: Why the Ethiopia-Eritrea crisis matters for Israel
Opinion: As Israel focuses on Houthi threats from Yemen, tensions among Ethiopia, Eritrea and Egypt are escalating across the Red Sea, raising risks to maritime security, regional stability and a vital corridor for Israeli trade
Amine Ayoub
|
10.03.26
The iron wall in Rabat: Why Morocco’s political shift won’t touch the Abraham Accords
Analysis: As Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri takes the helm as Morocco’s first female prime minister, a look inside the palace architecture reveals why Israel’s most resilient North African alliance remains entirely bulletproof.
Amine Ayoub
|
09.30.26
The reported Abu Dhabi warning: What Israel must learn from October 7
Analysis: When regional partners sound the alarm, intelligence bureaucracies cannot afford to treat strategic warnings as diplomatic noise
Amine Ayoub
|
09.29.26
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