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Amine Ayoub
Hudna: Why a Middle East ceasefire just means 'reload'
Analysis: Western diplomacy misreads truces with Hamas, Hezbollah and Tehran, treating them as paths to peace while Islamist actors use them as tactical pauses to regroup, rearm and prepare the next round
Amine Ayoub
|
04.25.26
Iran’s unprecedented monetization of the Strait of Hormuz
Analysis: Tehran has turned the strategic waterway into a tool of maritime extortion, using the ceasefire lull to impose transit fees, demand crypto or yuan payments and tighten control over one of the world’s most critical oil shipping lanes
Amine Ayoub
|
04.23.26
Iran just shot at India; Israel should be paying attention
Opinion: Iran fires on Indian ships in Hormuz, signaling tighter control over the strategic waterway despite ongoing US talks and raising concerns that Tehran is using maritime access as leverage in high-stakes negotiations
Amine Ayoub
|
04.20.26
The Lebanon ceasefire: a dangerous breather for Hezbollah
Analysis: US-brokered pause is meant to open the way for Israel-Lebanon talks, but the deal doesn't require Hezbollah to disarm, even though UN Resolution 1701 called for armed groups in Lebanon to be disarmed, and allows Israel to strike imminent threats
Amine Ayoub
|
04.18.26
Until Hormuz is secured, this war will not be won despite Israel and US battlefield dominance
Opinion: Focus on strikes inside Iran masks the real battleground: the Strait of Hormuz, where Tehran’s maritime strategy is choking global energy flows and exposing limits of US and Israeli military success despite overwhelming tactical gains
Amine Ayoub
|
04.05.26
The Suez trap: how Russia is using grain and energy to pull Egypt away from US influence
Opinion: A proposed Russian hub in Egypt could reshape regional power, deepen Cairo’s economic dependence and challenge US influence at the Suez Canal, raising concerns over food security, military access and the future of long-standing alliances
Amine Ayoub
|
04.03.26
The Riyadh bypass: Saudi Arabia’s nuclear ambitions and the shifting sands of Middle East security
Analysis: proposed US-Saudi nuclear deal allowing uranium enrichment is raising alarm in the region, as critics warn it could trigger a regional arms race and reshape Middle East security dynamics amid Iran’s weakening position
Amine Ayoub
|
03.30.26
The Islamabad illusion: Pakistan’s diplomacy as a shield for the Iranian axis
Opinion: As Iranian strikes hit Gulf states, Pakistan hosts regional talks billed as de-escalation, but critics say its ties with Tehran and maritime concessions raise doubts about neutrality and risk shielding Iran’s ongoing campaign
Amine Ayoub
|
03.30.26
Hormuz disconnect: why Trump's 15-point plan overlooks maritime security
Analysis: ceasefire deal that ignores Iran’s grip on the Strait of Hormuz risks legitimizing IRGC control of global shipping and raising energy costs for Israel and the West
Amine Ayoub
|
03.27.26
How the Strait of Hormuz became a global economic hostage without a single warship
Opinion: The Strait’s effective closure stems not from blockades but from insurance fears after drone strikes on shipping and energy sites drove risk beyond what marine underwriters can cover, turning limited attacks into a strategic shutdown
Amine Ayoub
|
03.22.26
The $10 billion deficit: Egypt’s crumbling strategic value rattles Mediterranean order
Analysis: A collapse in Suez Canal revenue and emergency LNG imports are exposing Egypt as a weakened regional player — one increasingly reliant on outside protection and subsidies rather than able to anchor security
Amine Ayoub
|
03.18.26
Crossing the red line: the US-Iran shadow war reaches the gates of North Africa
Analysis: US lawmakers push to designate the Polisario Front a terrorist group amid claims Iran and Hezbollah are arming and training the movement in Western Sahara, raising concerns Tehran is expanding its proxy network into North Africa
Amine Ayoub
|
03.16.26
From Gaza to Beirut: Why the Muslim Brotherhood can no longer hide behind Lebanese ‘Sovereignty’
Opinion: A predawn Israeli airstrike in the heart of Beirut targeted the Muslim Brotherhood’s Lebanese branch, signaling that groups coordinating attacks from the capital are no longer beyond Israel’s reach
Amine Ayoub
|
03.11.26
America was never dragged into this war — it has been fighting the mullahs for half a century
Opinion: Critics say Israel dragged Washington into war, but the US-Iran conflict has simmered for nearly five decades under a regime that calls America the 'Great Satan'
Amine Ayoub
|
03.09.26
Iran crippled Al Udeid Radar on Qatari Soil — same Qatar that hosts Hamas leaders, funds war on Israel
Opinion: A missile strike on the US radar at Al Udeid base highlights Qatar’s strategic contradiction; a Gulf ally hosting American forces while protecting Hamas leadership and financing networks tied to the war against Israel.
Amine Ayoub
|
03.07.26
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